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$500,000 Winter IceMichigan Scratch-Off Odds & Prizes Remaining

Image Credit: Michigan Lottery
40
VALUESCORE
Fair
$5MichiganGame #0615GREEN
At a glance

The Michigan Lottery sells $500,000 Winter Ice as a $5 ticket. By our estimate the $500,000 prize is easier to hit now than at launch: about 1 in 1,495,965 per ticket, down from 1 in 2,202,163. At a ValueScore of 40/100 (Fair), it is 25th of the 31 active $5 games in Michigan. It has been on sale since December 2023, and 34% of its prizes are still unclaimed.

Overall Odds
1 in 4.05
Exp. Value
$0.70
per $1 spent
Top Prize
$500,000
Top Prizes Left
1
Prizes Remaining
34%
ValueScore™
40 / 100
Fair

Should I Buy This Ticket?

Expected value per $1 spent:
$0.70
↓
BELOW AVERAGE
The numbers work against it: #80 of the 108 active games we track in Michigan.
Why
↓A leaner 25% chance of winning per ticket (1 in 4.05), below most games.
  • Top-prize odds have improved: 1 in 2.2M at launch, about 1 in 1.5M now. Tickets have sold faster than the $500,000 prizes have been claimed.
  • At $0.70 back per $1, the return here is middle-of-the-road for this price point.
  • A reasonable chunk of the top and mid-tier prizes are still available, though not the majority.

Current Prize Odds

ScratchCheck estimate · Updated October 9
$500,000
1 of 2 left
launch odds 1 in 2.2M
now ~1 in 1.5M
$500
7 of 15 left
launch odds 1 in 294K
now ~1 in 214K
$100
810 of 2,738 left
launch odds 1 in 1,609
now ~1 in 1,847
ScratchCheck estimate. Current odds are derived from the prizes still unclaimed and our estimate of tickets remaining, shown next to the lottery’s printed launch odds. Actual odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes claimed.

Prize Breakdown

PrizeTotalLeftStatus
$500,00021
50%
$500157
47%
$1002,738810
30%
$5079,49424,941
31%
$20141,06646,405
33%
$15149,90049,532
33%
$10299,903100,191
33%
$5414,370147,487
36%

Prize Pool Analysis

Total Payout at Launch
$15,396,700
Current Prize Pool
$5,241,975
Payout Percentage
34.0%
Total Prizes Remaining
369,374

Ticket Statistics

Total Tickets Printed
4,404,326
Estimated Remaining
1,495,965
% Remaining
34.0%
Prize pool figures use advertised prize values. Tickets printed is estimated from overall odds. Tickets remaining is estimated from the share of prizes still unclaimed.

Prize History

Top prizes left

The one $500,000 top prize left on March 6, when our records for it began, is still unclaimed.

10
March 6October 9

How fast it's selling

Over the last 4 weeks, about 0% of this game's prizes were reported claimed each week, well below the average for Michigan's $5 games (0.5% a week).

From ScratchCheck's daily record of the lottery's published prize counts. Dates are when a claim first appeared in those counts, and small prizes are often cashed days after purchase, so claims trail actual sales.

ValueScore™ Breakdown

40
VALUESCORE
Fair
40
out of 100
Expected Value
14/40
Prize Quality
11/25
Win Frequency
7/20
Inventory Health
8/15
Updated: 10/9/2026

Game Details

Game Number
0615
Ticket Price
$5
Start Date
12/5/2023
Payout %
69.9%
Data Source
Official
Last Updated
10/9/2026

Simulate This Game

Run a virtual scratch-off using this game's real odds.

Image Credit: Michigan Lottery
$5.00 per ticket · 1 in 4.05 overall odds
✓ Accounts for prizes already claimed

Entertainment only. Outcomes are random and won't match a real session. Current-odds mode scales each tier by remaining prizes and tickets.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the $500,000 Winter Ice scratch-off a good buy?
It is about average. $500,000 Winter Ice scores 40/100 (Fair) and is 25th of the 31 active $5 games in Michigan. It pays back about $0.70 for every $1 spent. Higher-rated $5 tickets are listed on the Michigan rankings page.
What are the odds of winning the $500,000 Winter Ice scratch-off?
The overall odds of winning any prize with $500,000 Winter Ice are 1 in 4.05. This means roughly 1 in every 4 tickets wins a prize of any amount.
What is the top prize for $500,000 Winter Ice?
The top prize for $500,000 Winter Ice is $500,000. As of our latest update, 1 top prize remains unclaimed.
How many prizes are left in $500,000 Winter Ice?
Based on our latest data, 34% of all prize tickets remain (approximately 369,374 out of 1,087,488 total). The game is winding down. A significant portion of prizes have already been claimed.

Every $5 ticket in Michigan

All 31 ranked →
GameValueScoreOddsPayoutTop prize · leftClaimed per week
Mystery Box Multiplier Cashword721 in 3.6770.1%$300K · 3-
Gold Rush Tripler601 in 4.1870.3%$500K · 3-
In The Money601 in 4.1370.1%$500K · 31.5%
$500,000 Loteria601 in 3.7870.0%$500K · 30.0%
Spectacular Wild Time551 in 3.6370.2%$500K · 20.5%
Lucky Stars541 in 3.9973.1%$1M · 21.2%
Fireball Bingo541 in 3.9370.4%$300K · 31.5%
$500,000 Bonus Scratch Multiplier521 in 4.1070.1%$500K · 20.2%
Cash Vault511 in 4.1370.4%$500K · 32.8%
$500,000 Winter Ice (this game)401 in 4.0569.9%$500K · 10.0%

Claimed per week: share of each game's printed prizes reported claimed per week over the last 4 weeks, from our daily records of the lottery's prize counts.