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LincolnMichigan Scratch-Off Odds & Prizes Remaining

Image Credit: Michigan Lottery
39
VALUESCORE
Below Avg
$5MichiganGame #0640GREEN
At a glance

The Michigan Lottery sells Lincoln as a $5 ticket. By our estimate the $500,000 prize is easier to hit now than at launch: about 1 in 2,352,715 per ticket, down from 1 in 2,904,923. At a ValueScore of 39/100 (Below Avg), it is 26th of the 31 active $5 games in Michigan. It has been on sale since May 2024, and 54% of its prizes are still unclaimed.

Overall Odds
1 in 4.14
Exp. Value
$0.70
per $1 spent
Top Prize
$500,000
Top Prizes Left
2
Prizes Remaining
54%
ValueScore™
39 / 100
Below Avg

Should I Buy This Ticket?

Expected value per $1 spent:
$0.70
↓
BELOW AVERAGE
It is 26th of the 31 active $5 games in Michigan, so most $5 alternatives will serve you better.
Why
↓Expected value lands near the pack at $0.70 per $1 spent.
  • Top-prize odds have improved: 1 in 2.9M at launch, about 1 in 2.4M now. Tickets have sold faster than the $500,000 prizes have been claimed.
  • Prizes hit less often here, roughly 24% per ticket (1 in 4.14).
  • A reasonable chunk of the top and mid-tier prizes are still available, though not the majority.

Current Prize Odds

ScratchCheck estimate · Updated October 9
$500,000
2 of 3 left
launch odds 1 in 2.9M
now ~1 in 2.4M
$5,000
18 of 29 left
launch odds 1 in 301K
now ~1 in 261K
$2,000
34 of 58 left
launch odds 1 in 150K
now ~1 in 138K
ScratchCheck estimate. Current odds are derived from the prizes still unclaimed and our estimate of tickets remaining, shown next to the lottery’s printed launch odds. Actual odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes claimed.

Prize Breakdown

PrizeTotalLeftStatus
$500,00032
67%
$5,0002918
62%
$2,0005834
59%
$500291157
54%
$2001,454774
53%
$10010,1905,401
53%
$50153,91981,665
53%
$25305,008161,949
53%
$10762,510411,208
54%
$5871,555475,369
55%

Prize Pool Analysis

Total Payout at Launch
$30,520,325
Current Prize Pool
$16,552,300
Payout Percentage
54.2%
Total Prizes Remaining
1,136,577

Ticket Statistics

Total Tickets Printed
8,714,770
Estimated Remaining
4,705,429
% Remaining
54.0%
Prize pool figures use advertised prize values. Tickets printed is estimated from overall odds. Tickets remaining is estimated from the share of prizes still unclaimed.

Prize History

Top prizes left

All 2 $500,000 top prizes left on March 6, when our records for it began, are still unclaimed.

20
March 6October 9

How fast it's selling

Over the last 4 weeks, about 0% of this game's prizes were reported claimed each week, well below the average for Michigan's $5 games (0.5% a week).

From ScratchCheck's daily record of the lottery's published prize counts. Dates are when a claim first appeared in those counts, and small prizes are often cashed days after purchase, so claims trail actual sales.

ValueScore™ Breakdown

39
VALUESCORE
Below Avg
39
out of 100
Expected Value
8/40
Prize Quality
13/25
Win Frequency
5/20
Inventory Health
12/15
Updated: 10/9/2026

Game Details

Game Number
0640
Ticket Price
$5
Start Date
5/7/2024
Payout %
70.0%
Data Source
Official
Last Updated
10/9/2026

Simulate This Game

Run a virtual scratch-off using this game's real odds.

Image Credit: Michigan Lottery
$5.00 per ticket · 1 in 4.14 overall odds
✓ Accounts for prizes already claimed

Entertainment only. Outcomes are random and won't match a real session. Current-odds mode scales each tier by remaining prizes and tickets.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Lincoln scratch-off a good buy?
Probably not. Lincoln scores 39/100 (Below Average) and is 26th of the 31 active $5 games in Michigan. It pays back about $0.70 for every $1 spent.
What are the odds of winning the Lincoln scratch-off?
The overall odds of winning any prize with Lincoln are 1 in 4.14. This means roughly 1 in every 4 tickets wins a prize of any amount.
What is the top prize for Lincoln?
The top prize for Lincoln is $500,000. As of our latest update, 2 top prizes remain unclaimed.

Every $5 ticket in Michigan

All 31 ranked →
GameValueScoreOddsPayoutTop prize · leftClaimed per week
Mystery Box Multiplier Cashword721 in 3.6770.1%$300K · 3-
Gold Rush Tripler601 in 4.1870.3%$500K · 3-
In The Money601 in 4.1370.1%$500K · 31.5%
$500,000 Loteria601 in 3.7870.0%$500K · 30.0%
Spectacular Wild Time551 in 3.6370.2%$500K · 20.5%
Lucky Stars541 in 3.9973.1%$1M · 21.2%
Fireball Bingo541 in 3.9370.4%$300K · 31.5%
$500,000 Bonus Scratch Multiplier521 in 4.1070.1%$500K · 20.2%
Cash Vault511 in 4.1370.4%$500K · 32.8%
Lincoln (this game)391 in 4.1470.0%$500K · 20.0%

Claimed per week: share of each game's printed prizes reported claimed per week over the last 4 weeks, from our daily records of the lottery's prize counts.