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Tar Heels®North Carolina Scratch-Off Odds & Prizes Remaining

Image Credit: North Carolina Lottery
63
VALUESCORE
Good
$5North CarolinaGame #59GREEN
At a glance

Tar Heels® is one of the North Carolina Lottery's $5 games. With tickets selling faster than its top prizes are claimed, our estimate for the $200,000 prize has improved to about 1 in 1,234,888, from 1 in 1,454,989 at launch. Its ValueScore of 63/100 (Good) makes it first of the 23 active $5 games in North Carolina. It went on sale on September 29, 2026, so 85% of its prizes are still unclaimed.

Overall Odds
1 in 4.16
Exp. Value
$0.69
per $1 spent
Top Prize
$200,000
Top Prizes Left
2
Prizes Remaining
85%
ValueScore™
63 / 100
Good

Should I Buy This Ticket?

Expected value per $1 spent:
$0.69
↑
ABOVE AVERAGE
Above the pack: 20th of 83 active North Carolina games.
Why
↑Fresh prize pool: most of this game's prizes are still on the table.
  • Top-prize odds have improved: 1 in 1.5M at launch, about 1 in 1.2M now. Tickets have sold faster than the $200,000 prizes have been claimed.
  • Prize quality is high: most of the meaningful top and mid-tier prizes remain in play.
  • Odds of 1 in 4.16 put the win rate squarely in the normal range.

Current Prize Odds

ScratchCheck estimate · Updated October 9
$200,000
2 of 2 left
launch odds 1 in 1.5M
now ~1 in 1.2M
$10,000
6 of 6 left
launch odds 1 in 485K
now ~1 in 412K
$2,000
14 of 16 left
launch odds 1 in 182K
now ~1 in 176K
ScratchCheck estimate. Current odds are derived from the prizes still unclaimed and our estimate of tickets remaining, shown next to the lottery’s printed launch odds. Actual odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes claimed.

Prize Breakdown

PrizeOddsTotalLeftStatus
$200,0001 in 1,455,72022
100%
$10,0001 in 485,24066
100%
$2,0001 in 181,9651614
88%
$5001 in 9,903294248
84%
$2001 in 9,803297258
87%
$1001 in 4027,2466,083
84%
$501 in 17116,98014,298
84%
$251 in 3680,26167,667
84%
$151 in 18157,694133,367
85%
$101 in 12242,620205,855
85%
$51 in 15194,098165,898
85%

Prize Pool Analysis

Total Payout at Launch
$10,040,625
Current Prize Pool
$8,567,020
Payout Percentage
85.3%
Total Prizes Remaining
593,696

Ticket Statistics

Total Tickets Printed
2,909,978
Estimated Remaining
2,469,775
% Remaining
84.9%
Prize pool figures use advertised prize values. Tickets printed is estimated from overall odds. Tickets remaining is estimated from the share of prizes still unclaimed.

Prize History

Top prizes left

All 2 $200,000 top prizes left at launch on September 30 are still unclaimed.

20
September 30October 9

From ScratchCheck's daily record of the lottery's published prize counts. Dates are when a claim first appeared in those counts, and small prizes are often cashed days after purchase, so claims trail actual sales.

ValueScore™ Breakdown

63
VALUESCORE
Good
63
out of 100
Expected Value
14/40
Prize Quality
23/25
Win Frequency
10/20
Inventory Health
15/15
Updated: 10/9/2026

Game Details

Game Number
59
Ticket Price
$5
Start Date
9/29/2026
Payout %
69.0%
Data Source
Official
Last Updated
10/9/2026

Simulate This Game

Run a virtual scratch-off using this game's real odds.

Image Credit: North Carolina Lottery
$5.00 per ticket · 1 in 4.16 overall odds
✓ Accounts for prizes already claimed

Entertainment only. Outcomes are random and won't match a real session. Current-odds mode scales each tier by remaining prizes and tickets.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Tar Heels® scratch-off a good buy?
It is a solid pick. Tar Heels® scores 63/100 (Good) and is first of the 23 active $5 games in North Carolina. It pays back about $0.69 for every $1 spent.
What are the odds of winning the Tar Heels® scratch-off?
The overall odds of winning any prize with Tar Heels® are 1 in 4.16. This means roughly 1 in every 4 tickets wins a prize of any amount.
What is the top prize for Tar Heels®?
The top prize for Tar Heels® is $200,000. As of our latest update, 2 top prizes remain unclaimed.
How many prizes are left in Tar Heels®?
Based on our latest data, 85% of all prize tickets remain (approximately 593,696 out of 699,514 total). The game is early in its run, with most prizes still on the market.
When was Tar Heels® released?
Tar Heels® was released by the North Carolina Lottery on September 29, 2026. It is newly released, so the prize pool is essentially intact.

Every $5 ticket in North Carolina

All 23 ranked →
GameValueScoreOddsPayoutTop prize · leftClaimed per week
Tar Heels® (this game)631 in 4.1669.0%$200K · 2-
NC State®621 in 4.1668.9%$200K · 2-
20X The Cash581 in 4.3768.9%$250K · 120.5%
CASH571 in 4.1371.0%$200K · 22.3%
Loteria Grande551 in 3.8668.9%$150K · 41.8%
Jungle Cashword501 in 3.7969.0%$150K · 21.7%
Prize Link Connect501 in 4.2968.9%$200K · 20.5%
Wheel of Fortune471 in 4.3168.9%$200K · 41.5%
$200,000 Taxes Paid461 in 4.3069.0%$278K · 25.2%
Mega Bucks421 in 4.5068.9%$200K · 21.6%

Claimed per week: share of each game's printed prizes reported claimed per week over the last 4 weeks, from our daily records of the lottery's prize counts.