The Texas Lottery sells Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) at $20 a ticket. Expect roughly one winner in every 3 tickets, based on the published 1 in 3.29 overall odds. Its current expected value works out to $0.75 on the dollar, an above-average return. The top prize is $1,000,000. Across every tier, 13% of prizes are still out there: most prizes have already been claimed. On our 0-100 ValueScore scale (expected value, prize quality, win frequency, and inventory health) it earns a 60 (Good). Today it stands at 27th out of 77 Texas scratch-offs; among $20 tickets it is 11th of the 16 active $20 games in Texas.
Overall Odds
1 in 3.29
Exp. Value
$0.75
per $1 spent
Top Prize
$1,000,000
Top Prizes Left
1
Prizes Remaining
13%
ValueScore™
60 / 100
Good
Should I Buy This Ticket?
Expected value per $1 spent:
$0.75↑
ABOVE AVERAGE
Above the pack: #27 of the 77 active games we track in Texas.
Why
↑Wins hit often: about a 30% chance to win something per ticket (1 in 3.29), better than most games.
- At $0.75 returned per $1 spent, this game pays back more than the typical scratch-off.
- Low inventory: most of this game's prizes have already been claimed.
Current Prize Odds
ScratchCheck estimate$1,000,000
1 of 10 left
launch odds 1 in 2.4M
now ~1 in 3.0M
$20,000
13 of 40 left
launch odds 1 in 606K
now ~1 in 234K
$5,000
41 of 328 left
launch odds 1 in 74K
now ~1 in 74K
ScratchCheck estimate. Current odds are derived from the prizes still unclaimed and our estimate of tickets remaining, shown next to the lottery’s printed launch odds. Actual odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes claimed.
Prize Breakdown
| Prize | Odds | Total | Left | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,000,000 | 1 in 2,520,000 | 10 | 1 | 10% |
| $20,000 | 1 in 600,000 | 40 | 13 | 33% |
| $5,000 | 1 in 75,000 | 328 | 41 | 13% |
| $1,000 | 1 in 10,000 | 2,415 | 378 | 16% |
| $500 | 1 in 2,143 | 11,290 | 1,382 | 12% |
| $250 | 1 in 385 | 63,014 | 7,690 | 12% |
| $200 | 1 in 139 | 174,386 | 22,130 | 13% |
| $150 | 1 in 125 | 193,706 | 24,004 | 12% |
| $100 | 1 in 28 | 866,645 | 108,878 | 13% |
| $50 | 1 in 25 | 968,409 | 118,871 | 12% |
| $40 | 1 in 50 | 484,034 | 59,818 | 12% |
| $30 | 1 in 14 | 1,695,038 | 212,213 | 13% |
| $20 | 1 in 8 | 2,904,374 | 370,047 | 13% |
Prize Pool Analysis
Total Payout at Launch
$363,571,530
Current Prize Pool
$45,474,500
Payout Percentage
12.5%
Total Prizes Remaining
925,466
Ticket Statistics
Total Tickets Printed
24,226,537
Estimated Remaining
3,044,783
% Remaining
12.6%
Prize pool figures use advertised prize values. Tickets printed is estimated from overall odds. Tickets remaining is estimated from the share of prizes still unclaimed.
ValueScore™ Breakdown
60
VALUESCORE
Good
60
out of 100
Expected Value
34/40
Prize Quality
3/25
Win Frequency
19/20
Inventory Health
4/15
Updated: 8/27/2026
Game Details
- State
- Texas
- Game Number
- 2653
- Ticket Price
- $20
- Start Date
- 7/21/2025
- Payout %
- 75.0%
- Data Source
- Official
- Last Updated
- 8/27/2026
Compare
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Run a virtual scratch-off using this game's real odds.
Image Credit: Texas Lottery
$20.00 per ticket · 1 in 3.29 overall odds
✓ Accounts for prizes already claimed
Entertainment only. Outcomes are random and won't match a real session. Current-odds mode scales each tier by remaining prizes and tickets.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) scratch-off a good buy?
Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) is a solid choice. Its ValueScore of 60/100 is above average, indicating good expected value and a healthy prize pool. It performs better than most $20 tickets in Texas.
How much does Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) cost?
Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) costs $20 per ticket in Texas. All ScratchCheck figures for this game (expected value, ValueScore, and top prize analysis) are calculated against this $20 ticket price.
What are the odds of winning the Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) scratch-off?
The overall odds of winning any prize with Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) are 1 in 3.29. This means roughly 1 in every 3 tickets wins a prize of any amount.
What is the top prize for Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653)?
The top prize for Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) is $1,000,000. As of our latest update, 1 top prize remains unclaimed.
What are the prizes for Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653)?
Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) offers 13 distinct prize levels: $1,000,000 (10 total), $20,000 (40 total), $5,000 (328 total), $1,000 (2,415 total), $500 (11,290 total), $250 (63,014 total), $200 (174,386 total), $150 (193,706 total), $100 (866,645 total), $50 (968,409 total), $40 (484,034 total), $30 (1,695,038 total), and $20 (2,904,374 total). The full prize breakdown with odds and remaining counts is listed in the prize table on this page.
How many prizes are left in Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653)?
Based on our latest data, 13% of all prize tickets remain (approximately 925,466 out of 7,363,689 total). The vast majority of prizes have been claimed. This game is close to being retired.
How is Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) rated by ScratchCheck?
ScratchCheck rates Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) at 60 out of 100 using ValueScore™, a composite rating built from four factors: Expected Value, Prize Quality, Win Frequency, and Inventory Health. Scores of 80 or above are Excellent, 60 to 79 Good, 40 to 59 Fair, 20 to 39 Below Average, and below 20 is Poor. The score updates automatically as prizes are claimed and data refreshes.
When was Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) released?
Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) was released by the Texas Lottery on July 21, 2025. It has been on sale for over a year, so checking the remaining prize counts is important before buying.
How often is Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) data updated on ScratchCheck?
Million Dollar Loteria (Game #2653) data comes directly from the official Texas Lottery and is refreshed daily, so the odds and remaining prize counts you see match the lottery's latest published figures.