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$4,000,000 LION’S SHAREMassachusetts Scratch-Off Odds & Prizes Remaining

Image Credit: Massachusetts Lottery
60
VALUESCORE
Good
$10MassachusettsGame #441GREEN
At a glance

$4,000,000 LION’S SHARE is one of the Massachusetts Lottery's $10 games. With tickets selling faster than its top prizes are claimed, our estimate for the $4,000,000 prize has improved to about 1 in 2,049,032, from 1 in 4,032,117 at launch. It has been on sale since April 2024, and 17% of its prizes are still unclaimed.

Overall Odds
1 in 3.47
Exp. Value
$0.85
per $1 spent
Top Prize
$4,000,000
Top Prizes Left
1
Prizes Remaining
17%
ValueScore™
60 / 100
Good

Should I Buy This Ticket?

Expected value per $1 spent:
$0.85
↑
ABOVE AVERAGE
Above the pack: #31 of the 100 active games we track in Massachusetts.
Why
↑Strong expected value of $0.85 per $1: a bigger slice of ticket sales is still sitting in the prize pool than usual.
  • Top-prize odds have improved: 1 in 4.0M at launch, about 1 in 2.0M now. Tickets have sold faster than the $4,000,000 prizes have been claimed.
  • Wins hit often: about a 29% chance to win something per ticket (1 in 3.47), better than most games.
  • The prize pool is running thin, with most prizes already won.

Current Prize Odds

ScratchCheck estimate · Updated October 14
$4,000,000
1 of 3 left
launch odds 1 in 4.0M
now ~1 in 2.0M
$1,000,000
1 of 5 left
launch odds 1 in 2.4M
now ~1 in 2.0M
$5,000
25 of 140 left
launch odds 1 in 86K
now ~1 in 82K
ScratchCheck estimate. Current odds are derived from the prizes still unclaimed and our estimate of tickets remaining, shown next to the lottery’s printed launch odds. Actual odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes claimed.

Prize Breakdown

PrizeOddsTotalLeftStatus
$4,000,0001 in 4,032,00031
33%
$1,000,0001 in 2,419,20051
20%
$5,0001 in 86,40014025
18%
$1,0001 in 2,7174,452777
17%
$5001 in 67617,8922,933
16%
$1001 in 61197,56832,583
16%
$501 in 100120,96019,970
17%
$251 in 100120,96020,237
17%
$201 in 13967,680161,753
17%
$151 in 20604,800102,239
17%
$101 in 81,451,520249,980
17%

Prize Pool Analysis

Total Payout at Launch
$102,867,600
Current Prize Pool
$19,399,670
Payout Percentage
18.9%
Total Prizes Remaining
590,499

Ticket Statistics

Total Tickets Printed
12,096,351
Estimated Remaining
2,049,032
% Remaining
16.9%
Prize pool figures use advertised prize values. Tickets printed is estimated from overall odds. Tickets remaining is estimated from the share of prizes still unclaimed.

Prize History

Top prizes left

The one $4,000,000 top prize left on March 6, when our records for it began, is still unclaimed.

10
March 6October 14

How fast it's selling

Over the last 4 weeks, about 0.4% of this game's prizes were reported claimed each week, slower than the average for Massachusetts's $10 games (0.6% a week).

From ScratchCheck's daily record of the lottery's published prize counts. Dates are when a claim first appeared in those counts, and small prizes are often cashed days after purchase, so claims trail actual sales.

ValueScore™ Breakdown

60
VALUESCORE
Good
60
out of 100
Expected Value
36/40
Prize Quality
4/25
Win Frequency
16/20
Inventory Health
4/15
Updated: 10/14/2026

Game Details

Game Number
441
Ticket Price
$10
Start Date
4/16/2024
Payout %
85.0%
Data Source
Official
Last Updated
10/14/2026

Simulate This Game

Run a virtual scratch-off using this game's real odds.

Image Credit: Massachusetts Lottery
$10.00 per ticket · 1 in 3.47 overall odds
✓ Accounts for prizes already claimed

Entertainment only. Outcomes are random and won't match a real session. Current-odds mode scales each tier by remaining prizes and tickets.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE scratch-off a good buy?
It is a solid pick. $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE scores 60/100 (Good) and is 14th out of 25 $10 tickets in Massachusetts. It pays back about $0.85 for every $1 spent.
What are the odds of winning the $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE scratch-off?
The overall odds of winning any prize with $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE are 1 in 3.47. This means roughly 1 in every 3 tickets wins a prize of any amount.
What is the top prize for $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE?
The top prize for $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE is $4,000,000. As of our latest update, 1 top prize remains unclaimed.
How many prizes are left in $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE?
Based on our latest data, 17% of all prize tickets remain (approximately 590,499 out of 3,485,980 total). The game is winding down. A significant portion of prizes have already been claimed.

Every $10 ticket in Massachusetts

All 25 ranked →
GameValueScoreOddsPayoutTop prize · leftClaimed per week
$4,000,000 IN THE MONEY821 in 3.4785.0%$4M · 20.4%
STRIKE IT RICH811 in 3.5286.4%$4M · 21.1%
$4,000,000 EXTREME Cash781 in 3.4785.0%$4M · 10.7%
DECADE OF DOLLARS771 in 3.4783.3%$2.4M · 42.6%
100X761 in 3.4785.4%$4M · 11.4%
$4,000,000 CASH DOUBLER741 in 3.4887.5%$4M · 20.7%
$4,000,000 BONUS MONEY691 in 3.4784.9%$4M · 10.2%
$2,000,000 DIAMOND CASHWORD681 in 3.2682.6%$2M · 30.4%
$4,000,000 CASH KING DOUBLER671 in 3.4886.2%$4M · 20.4%
$4,000,000 LION’S SHARE (this game)601 in 3.4785.0%$4M · 10.4%

Claimed per week: share of each game's printed prizes reported claimed per week over the last 4 weeks, from our daily records of the lottery's prize counts.