Smokin' Hot Million is a $10 scratch-off lottery ticket from the Michigan Lottery. It has overall odds of 1 in 3.77, meaning roughly 1 in every 4 tickets wins a prize. The expected value is $0.77 per $1 spent, which is an above-average return compared to other scratch-offs. The top prize is $1,000,000. About half the prizes remain (55% remaining). ScratchCheck rates this ticket 65/100 (Good) based on expected value, prize quality, win frequency, and inventory health.
Overall Odds
1 in 3.77
Exp. Value
$0.77
per $1 spent
Top Prize
$1,000,000
Top Prizes Left
2
Prizes Remaining
55%
ValueScore™
65 / 100
Good
Should I Buy This Ticket?
Expected value per $1 spent:
$0.77↑
ABOVE AVERAGE
Strong overall value, among the better games we track right now.
Why
↑Healthy inventory: a large share of this game's prizes are still unclaimed.
- Expected value of $0.77 per $1 is above average. More of each dollar comes back as prizes than most games.
- You win something fairly often here, about 27% per ticket (1 in 3.77).
Current Prize Odds
ScratchCheck estimate$1,000,000
2 of 3 left
launch odds 1 in 2.0M
now ~1 in 1.7M
$10,000
10 of 21 left
launch odds 1 in 292K
now ~1 in 335K
$2,000
63 of 102 left
launch odds 1 in 60K
now ~1 in 53K
ScratchCheck estimate. Current odds are derived from the prizes still unclaimed and our estimate of tickets remaining, shown next to the lottery’s printed launch odds. Actual odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes claimed.
Prize Breakdown
| Prize | Total | Left | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,000,000 | 3 | 2 | 67% |
| $10,000 | 21 | 10 | 48% |
| $2,000 | 102 | 63 | 62% |
| $500 | 1,220 | 704 | 58% |
| $100 | 93,833 | 52,599 | 56% |
| $50 | 244,627 | 131,631 | 54% |
| $30 | 163,014 | 88,186 | 54% |
| $20 | 509,630 | 277,604 | 54% |
| $10 | 611,556 | 337,950 | 55% |
Prize Pool Analysis
Total Payout at Launch
$46,837,230
Current Prize Pool
$25,996,610
Payout Percentage
55.5%
Total Prizes Remaining
888,749
Ticket Statistics
Total Tickets Printed
6,122,503
Estimated Remaining
3,350,584
% Remaining
54.7%
Prize pool figures use advertised prize values. Tickets printed is estimated from overall odds. Tickets remaining is estimated from the share of prizes still unclaimed.
ValueScore™ Breakdown
65
VALUESCORE
Good
65
out of 100
Expected Value
Prize Quality
Win Frequency
Inventory Health
Updated: 8/11/2026
Game Details
- State
- Michigan
- Game Number
- 0703
- Ticket Price
- $10
- Start Date
- 5/6/2025
- Payout %
- 76.5%
- Data Source
- Official
- Last Updated
- 8/11/2026
Compare
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Image Credit: Michigan Lottery
$10.00 per ticket · 1 in 3.77 overall odds
✓ Accounts for prizes already claimed
Entertainment only. Outcomes are random and won't match a real session. Current-odds mode scales each tier by remaining prizes and tickets.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the Smokin' Hot Million scratch-off a good buy?
Smokin' Hot Million is a solid choice. Its ValueScore of 65/100 is above average, indicating good expected value and a healthy prize pool. It performs better than most $10 tickets in Michigan.
How much does Smokin' Hot Million cost?
Smokin' Hot Million costs $10 per ticket in Michigan. All ScratchCheck figures for this game (expected value, ValueScore, and top prize analysis) are calculated against this $10 ticket price.
What are the odds of winning the Smokin' Hot Million scratch-off?
The overall odds of winning any prize with Smokin' Hot Million are 1 in 3.77. This means roughly 1 in every 4 tickets wins a prize of any amount.
What is the top prize for Smokin' Hot Million?
The top prize for Smokin' Hot Million is $1,000,000. As of our latest update, 2 top prizes remain unclaimed.
What are the prizes for Smokin' Hot Million?
Smokin' Hot Million offers 9 distinct prize levels: $1,000,000 (3 total), $10,000 (21 total), $2,000 (102 total), $500 (1,220 total), $100 (93,833 total), $50 (244,627 total), $30 (163,014 total), $20 (509,630 total), and $10 (611,556 total). The full prize breakdown with odds and remaining counts is listed in the prize table on this page.
How many prizes are left in Smokin' Hot Million?
Based on our latest data, 55% of all prize tickets remain (approximately 888,749 out of 1,624,006 total). Roughly half the prizes remain, which is typical for an active game.
How is Smokin' Hot Million rated by ScratchCheck?
ScratchCheck rates Smokin' Hot Million at 65 out of 100 using ValueScore™, a composite rating built from four factors: Expected Value, Prize Quality, Win Frequency, and Inventory Health. Scores of 80 or above are Excellent, 60 to 79 Good, 40 to 59 Fair, 20 to 39 Below Average, and below 20 is Poor. The score updates automatically as prizes are claimed and data refreshes.
When was Smokin' Hot Million released?
Smokin' Hot Million was released by the Michigan Lottery on May 6, 2025. It has been on sale for over a year, so checking the remaining prize counts is important before buying.
How often is Smokin' Hot Million data updated on ScratchCheck?
Smokin' Hot Million data comes directly from the official Michigan Lottery and is refreshed daily, so the odds and remaining prize counts you see match the lottery's latest published figures.