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Smokin' Hot MillionMichigan Scratch-Off Odds & Prizes Remaining

Image Credit: Michigan Lottery
63
VALUESCORE
Good
$10MichiganGame #0703GREEN
At a glance

The Michigan Lottery sells Smokin' Hot Million as a $10 ticket. By our estimate the $1,000,000 prize is easier to hit now than at launch: about 1 in 1,673,058 per ticket, down from 1 in 2,040,834. Prizes of $10,000 and up were printed on roughly 1 in 255,104 tickets.

Overall Odds
1 in 3.77
Exp. Value
$0.77
per $1 spent
Top Prize
$1,000,000
Top Prizes Left
2
Prizes Remaining
55%
ValueScore™
63 / 100
Good

Should I Buy This Ticket?

Expected value per $1 spent:
$0.77
↑
ABOVE AVERAGE
Above the pack: #38 of the 108 active games we track in Michigan.
Why
↑The game is early in its life, with the bulk of its prizes unclaimed.
  • Top-prize odds have improved: 1 in 2.0M at launch, about 1 in 1.7M now. Tickets have sold faster than the $1,000,000 prizes have been claimed.
  • The prize pool gives back $0.77 of every $1, better than most games manage.
  • Average win frequency: about a 27% chance to win something per ticket (1 in 3.77).

Current Prize Odds

ScratchCheck estimate · Updated October 9
$1,000,000
2 of 3 left
launch odds 1 in 2.0M
now ~1 in 1.7M
$10,000
10 of 21 left
launch odds 1 in 292K
now ~1 in 335K
$2,000
63 of 102 left
launch odds 1 in 60K
now ~1 in 53K
ScratchCheck estimate. Current odds are derived from the prizes still unclaimed and our estimate of tickets remaining, shown next to the lottery’s printed launch odds. Actual odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes claimed.

Prize Breakdown

PrizeTotalLeftStatus
$1,000,00032
67%
$10,0002110
48%
$2,00010263
62%
$5001,220702
58%
$10093,83352,533
56%
$50244,627131,482
54%
$30163,01488,080
54%
$20509,630277,225
54%
$10611,556337,467
55%

Prize Pool Analysis

Total Payout at Launch
$46,837,230
Current Prize Pool
$25,965,970
Payout Percentage
55.4%
Total Prizes Remaining
887,564

Ticket Statistics

Total Tickets Printed
6,122,503
Estimated Remaining
3,346,116
% Remaining
54.7%
Prize pool figures use advertised prize values. Tickets printed is estimated from overall odds. Tickets remaining is estimated from the share of prizes still unclaimed.

Prize History

Top prizes left

All 2 $1,000,000 top prizes left on March 6, when our records for it began, are still unclaimed.

20
March 6October 9

How fast it's selling

Over the last 4 weeks, about 0% of this game's prizes were reported claimed each week, well below the average for Michigan's $10 games (0.4% a week).

From ScratchCheck's daily record of the lottery's published prize counts. Dates are when a claim first appeared in those counts, and small prizes are often cashed days after purchase, so claims trail actual sales.

ValueScore™ Breakdown

63
VALUESCORE
Good
63
out of 100
Expected Value
25/40
Prize Quality
14/25
Win Frequency
12/20
Inventory Health
12/15
Updated: 10/9/2026

Game Details

Game Number
0703
Ticket Price
$10
Start Date
5/6/2025
Payout %
76.5%
Data Source
Official
Last Updated
10/9/2026

Simulate This Game

Run a virtual scratch-off using this game's real odds.

Image Credit: Michigan Lottery
$10.00 per ticket · 1 in 3.77 overall odds
✓ Accounts for prizes already claimed

Entertainment only. Outcomes are random and won't match a real session. Current-odds mode scales each tier by remaining prizes and tickets.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Smokin' Hot Million scratch-off a good buy?
It is a solid pick. Smokin' Hot Million scores 63/100 (Good) and is 13th of the 27 active $10 games in Michigan. It pays back about $0.77 for every $1 spent.
What are the odds of winning the Smokin' Hot Million scratch-off?
The overall odds of winning any prize with Smokin' Hot Million are 1 in 3.77. This means roughly 1 in every 4 tickets wins a prize of any amount.
What is the top prize for Smokin' Hot Million?
The top prize for Smokin' Hot Million is $1,000,000. As of our latest update, 2 top prizes remain unclaimed.

Every $10 ticket in Michigan

All 27 ranked →
GameValueScoreOddsPayoutTop prize · leftClaimed per week
Wild $10821 in 3.6876.5%$1M · 3-
Silver & Gold Cashword801 in 3.4775.6%$500K · 31.5%
Cash Train741 in 3.6377.0%$1M · 21.8%
Power Doubler731 in 3.8476.7%$1M · 30.9%
Bonus Multiplier731 in 3.8576.5%$1M · 21.3%
$1,000,000 Cash Spectacular701 in 3.6876.6%$1M · 20.6%
One Million Payday681 in 3.8176.5%$1M · 30.0%
Epic Wild Time671 in 3.4876.5%$1M · 20.4%
Ruby 7s671 in 3.8476.6%$1M · 21.3%
Smokin' Hot Million (this game)631 in 3.7776.5%$1M · 20.0%

Claimed per week: share of each game's printed prizes reported claimed per week over the last 4 weeks, from our daily records of the lottery's prize counts.