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Ranked 46th of 58 Tickets in New Jersey

Birthday SurpriseNew Jersey Scratch-Off Odds & Prizes Remaining

Image Credit: New Jersey Lottery
33
VALUESCORE
Below Avg
$2New JerseyGame #1904GREEN
At a glance

Birthday Surprise costs $2 a ticket from the New Jersey Lottery. By our estimate the $10,000 prize is easier to hit now than at launch: about 1 in 581,301 per ticket, down from 1 in 1,180,390. Prizes of $1,000 and up were printed on roughly 1 in 131,154 tickets.

Overall Odds
1 in 4.53
Derived
Exp. Value
$0.67
per $1 spent
Top Prize
$10,000
Top Prizes Left
2
Prizes Remaining
33%
ValueScore™
33 / 100
Below Avg

Should I Buy This Ticket?

Expected value per $1 spent:
$0.67
↓
BELOW AVERAGE
Ranked 46th out of 58 New Jersey scratch-offs. Better options exist, including 2 other $2 New Jersey games ranked higher.
Why
↓At $0.67 back per $1, the return here is middle-of-the-road for this price point.
  • Top-prize odds have improved: 1 in 1.2M at launch, about 1 in 581K now. Tickets have sold faster than the $10,000 prizes have been claimed.
  • Wins are infrequent: about a 22% chance to win something per ticket (1 in 4.53), lower than most games.
  • A reasonable chunk of the top and mid-tier prizes are still available, though not the majority.

Current Prize Odds

ScratchCheck estimate · Updated October 19
$10,000
2 of 3 left
launch odds 1 in 1.2M
now ~1 in 581K
$1,000
8 of 24 left
launch odds 1 in 148K
now ~1 in 145K
$500
41 of 120 left
launch odds 1 in 30K
now ~1 in 28K
ScratchCheck estimate. Current odds are derived from the prizes still unclaimed and our estimate of tickets remaining, shown next to the lottery’s printed launch odds. Actual odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes claimed.

Prize Breakdown

PrizeOddsTotalLeftStatus
$10,0001 in 1,180,00032
67%
$1,0001 in 147,500248
33%
$5001 in 29,50012041
34%
$1001 in 2,0031,767484
27%
$501 in 5047,0191,980
28%
$201 in 6753,08615,805
30%
$101 in 32112,11434,717
31%
$51 in 27129,75442,439
33%
$41 in 25141,67446,659
33%
$21 in 21165,16055,581
34%
$21 in 21170,99458,929
34%

Prize Pool Analysis

Total Payout at Launch
$4,712,284
Current Prize Pool
$1,487,021
Payout Percentage
31.6%
Total Prizes Remaining
256,645

Ticket Statistics

Total Tickets Printed
3,541,169
Estimated Remaining
1,162,602
% Remaining
32.8%
Prize pool figures use advertised prize values. Tickets printed is estimated from overall odds. Tickets remaining is estimated from the share of prizes still unclaimed.

Prize History

Top prizes left

Since April 6, when our records for it began, one $10,000 top prize has been reported claimed, leaving 2. The most recent was between April 12 and August 30.

31
3
2
April 6October 19
  • April 12 to August 30, 20261 claimed · 2 left

How fast it's selling

Over the last 4 weeks, about 1% of this game's prizes were reported claimed each week, slower than the average for New Jersey's $2 games (2.2% a week).

From ScratchCheck's daily record of the lottery's published prize counts. Dates are when a claim first appeared in those counts, and small prizes are often cashed days after purchase, so claims trail actual sales.

ValueScore™ Breakdown

33
VALUESCORE
Below Avg
33
out of 100
Expected Value
8/40
Prize Quality
13/25
Win Frequency
4/20
Inventory Health
8/15
Updated: 10/19/2026

Game Details

Game Number
1904
Ticket Price
$2
Start Date
7/23/2025
Payout %
66.6%
Data Source
State lottery
Last Updated
10/19/2026

Simulate This Game

Run a virtual scratch-off using this game's real odds.

Image Credit: New Jersey Lottery
$2.00 per ticket · 1 in 4.53 overall odds
✓ Accounts for prizes already claimed

Entertainment only. Outcomes are random and won't match a real session. Current-odds mode scales each tier by remaining prizes and tickets.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Birthday Surprise scratch-off a good buy?
Probably not. Birthday Surprise scores 33/100 (Below Average) and is 3rd of the 6 active $2 games in New Jersey. It pays back about $0.67 for every $1 spent.
What are the odds of winning the Birthday Surprise scratch-off?
The overall odds of winning any prize with Birthday Surprise are 1 in 4.53. This means roughly 1 in every 5 tickets wins a prize of any amount.
What is the top prize for Birthday Surprise?
The top prize for Birthday Surprise is $10,000. As of our latest update, 2 top prizes remain unclaimed.
How many prizes are left in Birthday Surprise?
Based on our latest data, 33% of all prize tickets remain (approximately 256,645 out of 781,715 total). The game is winding down. A significant portion of prizes have already been claimed.

Every $2 ticket in New Jersey

GameValueScoreOddsPayoutTop prize · leftClaimed per week
Big Money Spectacular481 in 4.7666.0%$30K · 52.5%
Sapphire 7's381 in 4.6465.6%$20K · 36.0%
Birthday Surprise (this game)331 in 4.5366.6%$10K · 21.0%
It Takes 2321 in 4.4466.8%$10K · 30.2%
Money Mania231 in 4.4166.5%$10K · 11.9%
Big Money Spectacular (Game #1964)131 in 4.7666.0%$30K · 00.5%

Claimed per week: share of each game's printed prizes reported claimed per week over the last 4 weeks, from our daily records of the lottery's prize counts.