Birthday Surprise
Image Credit: New Jersey Lottery
31
VALUESCORE
Below Avg
Birthday Surprise is a $2 scratch-off lottery ticket from the New Jersey Lottery. It has overall odds of 1 in 4.53, meaning roughly 1 in every 5 tickets wins a prize. The expected value is $0.67 per $1 spent, which is an average return compared to other scratch-offs. The top prize is $10,000. About half the prizes remain (47% remaining). ScratchCheck rates this ticket 31/100 (Below Avg) based on expected value, prize quality, win frequency, and inventory health.
Overall Odds
1 in 4.53
~Estimated
Exp. Value
$0.67
per $1 spent
Top Prize
$10,000
Top Prizes Left
1
Prizes Remaining
47%
ValueScore™
31 / 100
Below Avg
Should I Buy This Ticket?
Expected value per $1 spent:
$0.67↓
BELOW AVERAGE
Weaker overall value. There are likely better options at this price.
Why
↓Wins are infrequent: about a 22% chance to win something per ticket (1 in 4.53), lower than most games.
- At $0.67 back per $1, the return here is middle-of-the-road for this price point.
- Prize quality is thin, with the bigger winners mostly gone.
* Odds are estimated and may differ from actual values.
Current Prize Odds
ScratchCheck estimate$10,000
1 of 3 left
launch odds 1 in 1.2M
now ~1 in 1.7M
$1,000
1 of 24 left
launch odds 1 in 148K
now ~1 in 1.7M
$500
57 of 120 left
launch odds 1 in 30K
now ~1 in 29K
ScratchCheck estimate. Current odds are derived from the prizes still unclaimed and our estimate of tickets remaining, shown next to the lottery’s printed launch odds. Actual odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes claimed.
Prize Breakdown
| Prize | Odds | Total | Left | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10,000 | 1 in 1,180,000* | 3 | 1 | 33% |
| $1,000 | 1 in 147,500* | 24 | 1 | 4% |
| $500 | 1 in 29,500* | 120 | 57 | 48% |
| $100 | 1 in 2,003* | 1,767 | 758 | 43% |
| $50 | 1 in 504* | 7,019 | 3,006 | 43% |
| $20 | 1 in 67* | 53,086 | 23,469 | 44% |
| $10 | 1 in 32* | 112,114 | 50,619 | 45% |
| $5 | 1 in 27* | 129,754 | 60,352 | 47% |
| $4 | 1 in 25* | 141,674 | 66,251 | 47% |
| $2 | 1 in 21* | 165,160 | 78,025 | 47% |
| $2 | 1 in 21* | 170,994 | 81,974 | 48% |
* = Estimated
Prize Pool Analysis
Total Payout at Launch
$4,712,284
Current Prize Pool
$2,127,932
Payout Percentage
45.2%
Total Prizes Remaining
364,513
Ticket Statistics
Total Tickets Printed
3,541,169
Estimated Remaining
1,651,244
% Remaining
46.6%
Prize pool figures use advertised prize values. Tickets printed and remaining are estimated from overall odds and the share of prizes still unclaimed.
ValueScore™ Breakdown
31
VALUESCORE
Below Avg
31
out of 100
Expected Value
Prize Quality
Win Frequency
Inventory Health
Updated: 7/19/2026
Game Details
- State
- New Jersey
- Game Number
- 1904
- Ticket Price
- $2
- Start Date
- 7/23/2025
- Payout %
- 66.6%
- Data Source
- Estimated
- Last Updated
- 7/19/2026
Compare
Compare this game with another →Official Source
View on New Jersey Lottery ↗ Estimated Odds
New Jersey does not publish official overall odds. Values are derived from print run data. Actual odds may vary.
Simulate This Game
Run a virtual scratch-off using this game's real odds.
Image Credit: New Jersey Lottery
$2.00 per ticket · 1 in 4.53 overall odds
✓ Accounts for prizes already claimed
Entertainment only. Outcomes are random and won't match a real session. Current-odds mode scales each tier by remaining prizes and tickets.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the Birthday Surprise scratch-off a good buy?
Birthday Surprise scores 31/100 on ValueScore, which is below average. The expected value, prize pool, or inventory health is weaker than most other tickets at this price. There are likely better options in New Jersey at the $2 price point.
How much does Birthday Surprise cost?
Birthday Surprise costs $2 per ticket in New Jersey. All ScratchCheck figures for this game (expected value, ValueScore, and top prize analysis) are calculated against this $2 ticket price.
What are the odds of winning the Birthday Surprise scratch-off?
The overall odds of winning any prize with Birthday Surprise are 1 in 4.53. This means roughly 1 in every 5 tickets wins a prize of any amount. Note: New Jersey does not publish official overall odds. This figure is estimated from available prize data.
What is the top prize for Birthday Surprise?
The top prize for Birthday Surprise is $10,000. As of our latest update, 1 top prize remains unclaimed.
What are the prizes for Birthday Surprise?
Birthday Surprise offers 10 distinct prize levels: $10,000 (3 total), $1,000 (24 total), $500 (120 total), $100 (1,767 total), $50 (7,019 total), $20 (53,086 total), $10 (112,114 total), $5 (129,754 total), $4 (141,674 total), and $2 (336,154 total). The full prize breakdown with odds and remaining counts is listed in the prize table on this page.
How many prizes are left in Birthday Surprise?
Based on our latest data, 47% of all prize tickets remain (approximately 364,513 out of 781,715 total). Roughly half the prizes remain, which is typical for an active game.
How is Birthday Surprise rated by ScratchCheck?
ScratchCheck rates Birthday Surprise at 31 out of 100 using ValueScore™, a composite rating built from four factors: Expected Value, Prize Quality, Win Frequency, and Inventory Health. Scores of 80 or above are Excellent, 60 to 79 Good, 40 to 59 Fair, 20 to 39 Below Average, and below 20 is Poor. The score updates automatically as prizes are claimed and data refreshes.
When was Birthday Surprise released?
Birthday Surprise was released by the New Jersey Lottery on July 23, 2025. It has been on sale for roughly 12 months, so a meaningful portion of prizes has likely been claimed.
How often is Birthday Surprise data updated on ScratchCheck?
Birthday Surprise data comes directly from the official New Jersey Lottery and is refreshed daily, so the odds and remaining prize counts you see match the lottery's latest published figures.