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Ranked 9th of 61 Tickets in New Jersey

Holiday DoughNew Jersey Scratch-Off Odds & Prizes Remaining

Image Credit: New Jersey Lottery
72
VALUESCORE
Good
$5New JerseyGame #2004GREEN
At a glance

The New Jersey Lottery sells Holiday Dough as a $5 ticket. At a ValueScore of 72/100 (Good), it is the best $5 game on sale in New Jersey. It went on sale on October 28, 2026, so 92% of its prizes are still unclaimed.

Overall Odds
1 in 4.03
Derived
Exp. Value
$0.71
per $1 spent
Top Prize
$200,000
Top Prizes Left
3
Prizes Remaining
92%
ValueScore™
72 / 100
Good

Should I Buy This Ticket?

Expected value per $1 spent:
$0.71
↑
ABOVE AVERAGE
A solid pick: #9, ahead of roughly 87% of New Jersey's 61 active games, and first of the 20 active $5 games in New Jersey.
Why
↑Fresh prize pool: most of this game's prizes are still on the table.
  • The bigger prize tiers here have plenty left to win.
  • Wins hit often: about a 25% chance to win something per ticket (1 in 4.03), better than most games.

Current Prize Odds

ScratchCheck estimate · Updated November 7
$200,000
3 of 3 left
launch odds 1 in 1.3M
now ~1 in 1.2M
$2,500
31 of 33 left
launch odds 1 in 121K
now ~1 in 118K
$500
497 of 531 left
launch odds 1 in 7,506
now ~1 in 7,354
ScratchCheck estimate. Current odds are derived from the prizes still unclaimed and our estimate of tickets remaining, shown next to the lottery’s printed launch odds. Actual odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes claimed.

Prize Breakdown

PrizeOddsTotalLeftStatus
$200,0001 in 1,327,38033
100%
$2,5001 in 120,6713331
94%
$5001 in 7,499531497
94%
$2001 in 2,1491,8531,680
91%
$1001 in 28513,97712,786
91%
$401 in 9243,43839,732
91%
$201 in 20199,107182,263
92%
$101 in 10398,179364,940
92%
$51 in 12331,915305,005
92%

Prize Pool Analysis

Total Payout at Launch
$14,077,325
Current Prize Pool
$12,949,565
Payout Percentage
92.0%
Total Prizes Remaining
906,937

Ticket Statistics

Total Tickets Printed
3,985,815
Estimated Remaining
3,654,956
% Remaining
91.7%
Prize pool figures use advertised prize values. Tickets printed is estimated from overall odds. Tickets remaining is estimated from the share of prizes still unclaimed.

Prize History

Top prizes left

All 3 $200,000 top prizes left at launch on October 29 are still unclaimed.

DateWhat happenedTop prizes left
October 29Launched3
November 7Latest count, none claimed3

From ScratchCheck's daily record of the lottery's published prize counts. Dates are when a claim first appeared in those counts, and small prizes are often cashed days after purchase, so claims trail actual sales.

ValueScore™ Breakdown

72
VALUESCORE
Good
72
out of 100
Expected Value
21/40
Prize Quality
24/25
Win Frequency
12/20
Inventory Health
15/15
Updated: 11/7/2026

Game Details

Game Number
2004
Ticket Price
$5
Start Date
10/28/2026
Payout %
70.7%
Data Source
State lottery
Last Updated
11/7/2026

Simulate This Game

Run a virtual scratch-off using this game's real odds.

Image Credit: New Jersey Lottery
$5.00 per ticket · 1 in 4.03 overall odds
✓ Accounts for prizes already claimed

Entertainment only. Outcomes are random and won't match a real session. Current-odds mode scales each tier by remaining prizes and tickets.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Holiday Dough scratch-off a good buy?
It is a solid pick. Holiday Dough scores 72/100 (Good) and is the strongest of New Jersey's 20 $5 tickets. It pays back about $0.71 for every $1 spent.
What are the odds of winning the Holiday Dough scratch-off?
The overall odds of winning any prize with Holiday Dough are 1 in 4.03. This means roughly 1 in every 4 tickets wins a prize of any amount.
What is the top prize for Holiday Dough?
The top prize for Holiday Dough is $200,000. As of our latest update, 3 top prizes remain unclaimed.
How many prizes are left in Holiday Dough?
Based on our latest data, 92% of all prize tickets remain (approximately 906,937 out of 989,036 total). The game is early in its run, with most prizes still on the market.
When was Holiday Dough released?
Holiday Dough was released by the New Jersey Lottery on October 28, 2026. It is newly released, so the prize pool is essentially intact.

Every $5 ticket in New Jersey

All 20 ranked →
GameValueScoreOddsPayoutTop prize · leftClaimed per week
Holiday Dough (this game)721 in 4.0370.7%$200K · 3-
Jersey Legend591 in 4.3970.2%$200K · 25.2%
Emerald 7's581 in 4.1970.7%$200K · 33.9%
LOTERIA Grande581 in 3.9168.5%$100K · 32.2%
Goooalll! For The Win551 in 4.2570.5%$100K · 20.6%
Poker Nights531 in 4.3070.6%$150K · 22.1%
Ca$h Money531 in 4.1770.7%$200K · 11.0%
Super Crossword531 in 4.1870.7%$50K · 24.2%
Golden Riches Bingo511 in 4.2668.0%$100K · 13.3%
Jersey Dog471 in 4.1270.1%$200K · 20.7%

Claimed per week: share of each game's printed prizes reported claimed per week over the last 4 weeks, from our daily records of the lottery's prize counts.