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Ranked 22nd of 58 Tickets in New Mexico

$5,000 GrandeNew Mexico Scratch-Off Odds & Prizes Remaining

Image Credit: New Mexico Lottery
60
VALUESCORE
Good
$2New MexicoGame #688GREEN
At a glance

$5,000 Grande is one of the New Mexico Lottery's $2 games. With tickets selling faster than its top prizes are claimed, our estimate for the $5,000 prize has improved to about 1 in 113,089, from 1 in 164,496 at launch. 51% of its winning tickets pay $2 or less, no more than the ticket cost.

Overall Odds
1 in 3.99
Exp. Value
$0.59
per $1 spent
Top Prize
$5,000
Top Prizes Left
3
Prizes Remaining
69%
ValueScore™
60 / 100
Good

Should I Buy This Ticket?

Expected value per $1 spent:
$0.59
→
AVERAGE
At 22nd out of 58 New Mexico scratch-offs, it neither stands out nor falls behind.
Why
→Prizes hit less often here, roughly 25% per ticket (1 in 3.99).
  • Top-prize odds have improved: 1 in 164K at launch, about 1 in 113K now. Tickets have sold faster than the $5,000 prizes have been claimed.
  • At $0.59 returned per $1, this game pays back less than most scratch-offs.
  • Little of the prize pool has been drained so far.

Current Prize Odds

ScratchCheck estimate · Updated October 19
$5,000
3 of 3 left
launch odds 1 in 164K
now ~1 in 113K
$100
138 of 196 left
launch odds 1 in 2,518
now ~1 in 2,458
$50
329 of 492 left
launch odds 1 in 1,003
now ~1 in 1,031
ScratchCheck estimate. Current odds are derived from the prizes still unclaimed and our estimate of tickets remaining, shown next to the lottery’s printed launch odds. Actual odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes claimed.

Prize Breakdown

PrizeOddsTotalLeftStatus
$5,0001 in 164,40033
100%
$1001 in 2,516196138
70%
$501 in 1,002492329
67%
$401 in 3651,350870
64%
$201 in 1503,2882,173
66%
$101 in 509,8726,537
66%
$51 in 2519,72813,360
68%
$31 in 1926,27218,185
69%
$21 in 2123,03616,048
70%
$21 in 1339,44427,386
69%

Prize Pool Analysis

Total Payout at Launch
$580,096
Current Prize Pool
$397,103
Payout Percentage
68.5%
Total Prizes Remaining
85,029

Ticket Statistics

Total Tickets Printed
493,487
Estimated Remaining
339,266
% Remaining
68.7%
Prize pool figures use advertised prize values. Tickets printed is estimated from overall odds. Tickets remaining is estimated from the share of prizes still unclaimed.

Prize History

Top prizes left

All 3 $5,000 top prizes left at launch on July 8 are still unclaimed.

32
3
July 8October 19

How fast it's selling

Over the last 4 weeks, about 1.7% of this game's prizes were reported claimed each week, about twice the average for New Mexico's $2 games (0.8% a week).

From ScratchCheck's daily record of the lottery's published prize counts. Dates are when a claim first appeared in those counts, and small prizes are often cashed days after purchase, so claims trail actual sales.

ValueScore™ Breakdown

60
VALUESCORE
Good
60
out of 100
Expected Value
19/40
Prize Quality
22/25
Win Frequency
7/20
Inventory Health
12/15
Updated: 10/19/2026

Game Details

Game Number
688
Ticket Price
$2
Start Date
7/7/2026
Payout %
58.8%
Data Source
Official
Last Updated
10/19/2026

Simulate This Game

Run a virtual scratch-off using this game's real odds.

Image Credit: New Mexico Lottery
$2.00 per ticket · 1 in 3.99 overall odds
✓ Accounts for prizes already claimed

Entertainment only. Outcomes are random and won't match a real session. Current-odds mode scales each tier by remaining prizes and tickets.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the $5,000 Grande scratch-off a good buy?
It is a solid pick. $5,000 Grande scores 60/100 (Good) and is 2nd of New Mexico's 11 $2 tickets, in the top third. It pays back about $0.59 for every $1 spent.
What are the odds of winning the $5,000 Grande scratch-off?
The overall odds of winning any prize with $5,000 Grande are 1 in 3.99. This means roughly 1 in every 4 tickets wins a prize of any amount.
What is the top prize for $5,000 Grande?
The top prize for $5,000 Grande is $5,000. As of our latest update, 3 top prizes remain unclaimed.

Every $2 ticket in New Mexico

All 11 ranked →
GameValueScoreOddsPayoutTop prize · leftClaimed per week
ELF621 in 3.9858.9%$500 · 19-
$5,000 Grande (this game)601 in 3.9958.8%$5K · 31.7%
Betty Boop™501 in 4.0560.2%$5K · 21.7%
Fast Cash491 in 3.9958.8%$500 · 91.4%
Creepy Cash461 in 3.8159.9%$500 · 10.1%
I Love Cash381 in 3.9957.9%$5K · 21.3%
777371 in 3.9958.8%$7K · 21.6%
7-11-21® Tripler341 in 4.0458.9%$2K · 20.8%
Merry Money 5X271 in 3.9358.3%$500 · 50.1%
Hit $50251 in 4.1758.7%$50 · 1930.0%

Claimed per week: share of each game's printed prizes reported claimed per week over the last 4 weeks, from our daily records of the lottery's prize counts.