$500,000 MATCH TO WIN is a $5 scratch-off lottery ticket from the New York Lottery. It has overall odds of 1 in 4.16, meaning roughly 1 in every 4 tickets wins a prize. The expected value is $0.65 per $1 spent, which is an average return compared to other scratch-offs. The top prize is $500,000. Most prizes have already been claimed (6% remaining). ScratchCheck rates this ticket 30/100 (Below Avg) based on expected value, prize quality, win frequency, and inventory health.
Overall Odds
1 in 4.16
Exp. Value
$0.65
per $1 spent
Top Prize
$500,000
Top Prizes Left
0
Prizes Remaining
6%
ValueScore™
30 / 100
Below Avg
Should I Buy This Ticket?
Expected value per $1 spent:
$0.65↓
BELOW AVERAGE
Weaker overall value. There are likely better options at this price.
Why
↓Most of the larger top and mid-tier prizes have already been won.
- Expected value of $0.65 per $1 is about average, a typical return for a ticket at this price.
- About a 24% chance of a prize on each ticket (1 in 4.16), in line with most games.
Current Prize Odds
ScratchCheck estimate$500,000
0 of 3 left
launch odds 1 in 2.0M
All claimed
$2,000
0 of 10 left
launch odds 1 in 597K
All claimed
$500
27 of 618 left
launch odds 1 in 9,664
now ~1 in 13K
ScratchCheck estimate. Current odds are derived from the prizes still unclaimed and our estimate of tickets remaining, shown next to the lottery’s printed launch odds. Actual odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes claimed.
Prize Breakdown
| Prize | Odds | Total | Left | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $500,000 | 1 in 1,992,033 | 3 | 0 | Claimed |
| $2,000 | 1 in 597,610 | 10 | 0 | Claimed |
| $500 | 1 in 9,670 | 618 | 27 | 4% |
| $200 | 1 in 1,709 | 3,496 | 133 | 4% |
| $100 | 1 in 329 | 18,169 | 834 | 5% |
| $50 | 1 in 80 | 74,709 | 3,313 | 4% |
| $20 | 1 in 125 | 47,836 | 2,341 | 5% |
| $15 | 1 in 62 | 95,644 | 4,712 | 5% |
| $10 | 1 in 10 | 597,539 | 34,098 | 6% |
| $5 | 1 in 10 | 597,582 | 38,513 | 6% |
Prize Pool Analysis
Total Payout at Launch
$19,435,230
Current Prize Pool
$940,195
Payout Percentage
4.8%
Total Prizes Remaining
83,971
Ticket Statistics
Total Tickets Printed
5,972,121
Estimated Remaining
349,319
% Remaining
5.8%
Prize pool figures use advertised prize values. Tickets printed and remaining are estimated from overall odds and the share of prizes still unclaimed.
ValueScore™ Breakdown
30
VALUESCORE
Below Avg
30
out of 100
Expected Value
Prize Quality
Win Frequency
Inventory Health
Updated: 7/19/2026
Game Details
- State
- New York
- Game Number
- 1658
- Ticket Price
- $5
- Start Date
- 6/3/2025
- Payout %
- 65.0%
- Data Source
- Official
- Last Updated
- 7/19/2026
Compare
Compare this game with another →Official Source
View on New York Lottery ↗Simulate This Game
Run a virtual scratch-off using this game's real odds.
Image Credit: New York Lottery
$5.00 per ticket · 1 in 4.16 overall odds
✓ Accounts for prizes already claimed
Entertainment only. Outcomes are random and won't match a real session. Current-odds mode scales each tier by remaining prizes and tickets.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the $500,000 MATCH TO WIN scratch-off a good buy?
$500,000 MATCH TO WIN scores 30/100 on ValueScore, which is below average. The expected value, prize pool, or inventory health is weaker than most other tickets at this price. There are likely better options in New York at the $5 price point.
How much does $500,000 MATCH TO WIN cost?
$500,000 MATCH TO WIN costs $5 per ticket in New York. All ScratchCheck figures for this game (expected value, ValueScore, and top prize analysis) are calculated against this $5 ticket price.
What are the odds of winning the $500,000 MATCH TO WIN scratch-off?
The overall odds of winning any prize with $500,000 MATCH TO WIN are 1 in 4.16. This means roughly 1 in every 4 tickets wins a prize of any amount.
What is the top prize for $500,000 MATCH TO WIN?
The top prize for $500,000 MATCH TO WIN is $500,000. All top prizes have already been claimed. This game no longer has a top prize available, so you may want to consider a different game.
What are the prizes for $500,000 MATCH TO WIN?
$500,000 MATCH TO WIN offers 10 distinct prize levels: $500,000 (3 total), $2,000 (10 total), $500 (618 total), $200 (3,496 total), $100 (18,169 total), $50 (74,709 total), $20 (47,836 total), $15 (95,644 total), $10 (597,539 total), and $5 (597,582 total). The full prize breakdown with odds and remaining counts is listed in the prize table on this page.
How many prizes are left in $500,000 MATCH TO WIN?
Based on our latest data, 6% of all prize tickets remain (approximately 83,971 out of 1,435,606 total). The vast majority of prizes have been claimed. This game is close to being retired.
How is $500,000 MATCH TO WIN rated by ScratchCheck?
ScratchCheck rates $500,000 MATCH TO WIN at 30 out of 100 using ValueScore™, a composite rating built from four factors: Expected Value, Prize Quality, Win Frequency, and Inventory Health. Scores of 80 or above are Excellent, 60 to 79 Good, 40 to 59 Fair, 20 to 39 Below Average, and below 20 is Poor. The score updates automatically as prizes are claimed and data refreshes.
When was $500,000 MATCH TO WIN released?
$500,000 MATCH TO WIN was released by the New York Lottery on June 3, 2025. It has been on sale for over a year, so checking the remaining prize counts is important before buying.
How often is $500,000 MATCH TO WIN data updated on ScratchCheck?
$500,000 MATCH TO WIN data comes directly from the official New York Lottery and is refreshed daily, so the odds and remaining prize counts you see match the lottery's latest published figures.